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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.66+5.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.78+2.95vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+0.20vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+0.76vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.73-2.25vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.10+0.08vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.65-2.01vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.02-5.76vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.68-0.10vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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4.2Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.1%1st Place
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3.75Roger Williams University2.730.2%1st Place
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7.08Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.99Harvard University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.24Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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9.9Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.7University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurran Singh | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Julien Guiot | 14.2% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 14.4% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 18.6% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 22.1% | 15.4% | 2.8% |
| Victoria Marquez | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 23.7% | 22.1% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 7.9% | 26.2% | 52.8% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 34.5% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.