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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.73+2.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+1.21vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+2.90vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.65+2.26vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.66+1.01vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.48-1.70vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58-3.07vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.78-2.32vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.10-1.73vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.68-0.09vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Roger Williams University2.730.2%1st Place
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3.21Brown University3.020.3%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.1%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.01Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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4.3Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Vermont2.580.2%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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7.27Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.91Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.72University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Petrovic | 15.9% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 25.2% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Victoria Marquez | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Kurran Singh | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Julien Guiot | 12.9% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 16.3% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 7.6% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 22.5% | 12.7% | 5.4% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 8.5% | 27.2% | 51.5% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 36.9% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.