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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Daniel Petrovic 15.9% 17.4% 15.2% 14.7% 12.6% 12.6% 6.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Sophie Hibben 25.2% 18.8% 16.9% 14.1% 10.8% 6.5% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
James Peraire-Bueno 6.8% 6.8% 7.6% 10.1% 10.0% 11.6% 13.8% 15.8% 12.2% 4.6% 0.7%
Victoria Marquez 5.5% 5.2% 6.8% 9.0% 9.0% 11.6% 15.1% 16.4% 13.4% 6.8% 1.2%
Kurran Singh 5.4% 8.1% 8.7% 6.5% 11.7% 11.3% 12.8% 15.9% 12.8% 6.1% 0.7%
Julien Guiot 12.9% 14.4% 13.5% 15.7% 13.2% 10.3% 8.7% 6.2% 4.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Lindsay Doyle 16.3% 17.5% 14.6% 13.4% 12.4% 10.5% 8.2% 3.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Christopher Pearson 7.6% 6.2% 10.0% 9.5% 11.5% 13.3% 13.5% 11.4% 13.2% 3.4% 0.4%
Lucie Ford 3.3% 4.3% 4.8% 5.1% 5.5% 7.8% 11.7% 16.9% 22.5% 12.7% 5.4%
Alexie Lessing 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 2.4% 2.6% 3.6% 8.5% 27.2% 51.5%
Morgan Tanski 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 4.8% 8.2% 36.9% 40.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.