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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.58+3.10vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.73+1.70vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.66+3.24vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.65+2.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.48-0.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02-2.78vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-1.43vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.10-0.87vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.78-3.14vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.53-0.23vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.68-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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3.7Roger Williams University2.730.2%1st Place
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6.24Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University1.650.0%1st Place
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4.27Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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3.22Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.1%1st Place
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7.13Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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9.77University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.88Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Doyle | 12.5% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 18.7% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 6.5% | 0.6% |
| Victoria Marquez | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 0.9% |
| Julien Guiot | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 23.5% | 19.8% | 20.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Lucie Ford | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 22.5% | 13.7% | 3.2% |
| Christopher Pearson | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 31.5% | 45.1% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 31.4% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.