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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.95+2.06vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.21+2.35vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.32+1.21vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.24+0.32vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.31+0.16vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.03-3.04vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.53-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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4.06University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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5.35Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
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5.32Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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6.16Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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3.96Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 24.5% | 22.8% | 19.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 13.1% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 18.0% |
| Sam Reul | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 15.5% |
| Carter Erickson | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 17.6% |
| Kyle Padgett | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 39.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.0% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Erik Skeel | 25.7% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.