← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.95+2.98vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.53+1.03vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington1.53-0.01vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.03-0.08vs Predicted
-
5Oregon State University-0.31+1.28vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.24-0.71vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon0.32-1.76vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University0.21-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.98University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
-
3.03University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
-
2.99University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
-
3.92Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
-
6.28Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
-
5.29Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
-
5.24University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
-
5.28Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 13.6% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 4.1% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 23.1% | 23.0% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Erik Skeel | 25.1% | 21.7% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.4% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Kyle Padgett | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 19.6% | 38.9% |
| Carter Erickson | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| Sam Reul | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 16.4% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.