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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.31+5.19vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.95+0.06vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.24+0.35vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-2.16vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.32-1.76vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.21-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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3.05University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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2.99University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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4.06University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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5.35Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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3.84Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
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5.29Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Padgett | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 19.5% | 37.6% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 23.1% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Erik Skeel | 24.7% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 13.3% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 5.4% |
| Carter Erickson | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 18.6% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.7% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
| Sam Reul | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 20.5% | 15.9% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.