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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.31+5.18vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.95+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53+0.01vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.24+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.53-1.99vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.32-0.88vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.03-3.05vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.21-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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5.36Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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5.12University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
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3.95Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.29Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Padgett | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 22.5% | 36.2% |
| Connor Hughes | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Erik Skeel | 24.0% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Carter Erickson | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 19.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 24.1% | 23.7% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Sam Reul | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 16.1% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.1% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.