← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.53+1.97vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.95+2.06vs Predicted
-
3Oregon State University-0.31+3.17vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.03-0.08vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington1.53-1.93vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon0.32-0.85vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.24-1.62vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University0.21-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.97University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
-
4.06University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
-
6.17Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
-
3.92Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
-
3.07University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
-
5.15University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
-
5.38Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
-
5.28Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 26.0% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Connor Hughes | 13.2% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Kyle Padgett | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 38.9% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.1% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Erik Skeel | 22.7% | 23.2% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Sam Reul | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 16.4% |
| Carter Erickson | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 20.6% | 19.2% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.