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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+1.02vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.32+1.21vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-1.08vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.31+0.20vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.24-1.62vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.21-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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3.01University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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5.21University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
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3.92Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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6.2Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.38Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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5.29Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 13.9% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Erik Skeel | 23.9% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 25.3% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Sam Reul | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 15.7% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 12.4% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Kyle Padgett | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 39.5% |
| Carter Erickson | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 18.9% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.