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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.95+2.08vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.31+3.16vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.24+1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.53-1.95vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.32-0.86vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.03-3.03vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.21-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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4.08University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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6.16Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.35Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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5.14University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
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3.97Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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5.28Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 26.6% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Connor Hughes | 13.4% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 3.9% |
| Kyle Padgett | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 19.0% | 39.4% |
| Carter Erickson | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 17.7% |
| Erik Skeel | 22.6% | 23.4% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Sam Reul | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 16.2% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.6% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.