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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.32+2.14vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.31+2.22vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.24+0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.95-1.97vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.03-3.06vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.21-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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3.08University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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5.14University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
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6.22Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.34Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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3.94Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.28Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 25.9% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Erik Skeel | 22.3% | 23.1% | 18.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Sam Reul | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 14.6% |
| Kyle Padgett | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 39.5% |
| Carter Erickson | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 18.7% |
| Connor Hughes | 13.1% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 4.6% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.