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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.24+4.24vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-0.31+4.28vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53+0.02vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.32+0.21vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.21-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.53-3.90vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.95-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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6.28Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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3.02University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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3.92Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
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5.32Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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3.92University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Erickson | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 15.4% |
| Kyle Padgett | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 21.1% | 39.4% |
| Erik Skeel | 24.8% | 21.0% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 13.3% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Sam Reul | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 15.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 24.0% | 22.1% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Connor Hughes | 13.9% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.