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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+0.80vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.24+1.81vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.21+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.53-2.16vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-2.44vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.31-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.68-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
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2.8University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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4.95Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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2.84University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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3.56Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.66Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Oregon-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 15.5% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 25.5% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 15.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Carter Erickson | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 23.4% | 18.7% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 22.2% | 21.7% | 2.6% |
| Erik Skeel | 26.0% | 23.2% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.6% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Padgett | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 40.1% | 6.2% |
| Emily Burns | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 87.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.