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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+0.81vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.31+2.66vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.53-1.14vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.24-0.12vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-2.43vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.68+0.72vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.21-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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2.81University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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5.66Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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2.86University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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4.88Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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3.57Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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7.72University of Oregon-2.680.0%1st Place
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4.83Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 14.9% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 25.3% | 25.2% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Padgett | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 41.3% | 6.5% |
| Erik Skeel | 25.4% | 21.7% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Carter Erickson | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 24.2% | 19.3% | 2.1% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.9% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Burns | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 5.8% | 88.3% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 22.4% | 19.3% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.