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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.79+2.28vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.85+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.16+1.74vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.96+1.83vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.74-2.91vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.54-0.75vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University0.51-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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3.2Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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4.74University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.83Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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2.09University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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5.25Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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3.61Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hauter | 17.8% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 16.1% | 20.9% | 22.6% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 22.3% | 23.8% | 15.7% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 21.1% | 48.8% |
| Karl Skeel | 40.4% | 29.0% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 27.9% | 27.3% |
| Thomas Hope | 13.4% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 11.3% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.