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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.79+2.27vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.85+1.22vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.96+2.77vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.16+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.74-2.90vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.54-0.74vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University0.51-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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3.22Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.77Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.76University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.1University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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5.26Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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3.61Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hauter | 18.2% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 19.8% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 15.5% | 20.2% | 23.9% | 18.9% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Carter Dojan | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 12.7% | 22.7% | 47.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 25.1% | 16.1% |
| Karl Skeel | 39.9% | 29.4% | 16.8% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 26.9% | 28.4% |
| Thomas Hope | 13.4% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.