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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.05vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.96+3.80vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.16+1.74vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.51-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.79-1.65vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.85-2.78vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.54-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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5.8Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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3.73Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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3.22Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.12Western Washington University-0.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 44.6% | 25.4% | 17.1% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 49.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 20.8% | 23.5% | 16.7% |
| Thomas Hope | 11.9% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 19.7% | 11.8% | 4.4% |
| Austin Hauter | 13.5% | 21.0% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 16.1% | 20.5% | 22.1% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 28.3% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.