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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.11vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.51+1.71vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.79+0.32vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.85-0.80vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.96+0.81vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.54-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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3.71Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
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3.32University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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3.2Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.81Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.28Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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4.58University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 42.6% | 26.0% | 16.5% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hope | 10.7% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 11.7% | 4.2% |
| Austin Hauter | 14.4% | 21.0% | 20.7% | 19.9% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 18.1% | 18.6% | 22.6% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 49.7% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 26.9% | 29.3% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 23.0% | 24.5% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.