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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.07vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.79+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.16+1.77vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.51-0.29vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.54+0.26vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.85-2.76vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.96-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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3.27University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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3.71Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.26Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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3.24Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.69Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 44.0% | 25.9% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Austin Hauter | 14.7% | 22.4% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 15.9% | 21.5% | 22.0% | 18.0% |
| Thomas Hope | 12.2% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 12.0% | 4.0% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 27.0% | 27.8% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 16.5% | 19.9% | 22.5% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 22.2% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.