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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.07vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.51+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.79+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.16+0.75vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.54+0.26vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.85-2.75vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.96-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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3.68Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
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3.3University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.26Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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3.25Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.69Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 44.4% | 25.8% | 15.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hope | 11.9% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 11.0% | 4.4% |
| Austin Hauter | 15.0% | 20.6% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.4% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 24.2% | 16.1% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 26.3% | 28.0% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 16.6% | 21.0% | 20.3% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Carter Dojan | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 21.5% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.