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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University0.51+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+0.05vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.79+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.16+0.76vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.85-1.74vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.96-0.19vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.54-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
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2.05University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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3.33University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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3.26Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.81Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.12Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hope | 12.9% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 4.7% |
| Karl Skeel | 44.2% | 26.0% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Austin Hauter | 14.9% | 19.2% | 20.1% | 21.8% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 24.6% | 16.1% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 15.8% | 21.6% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 48.2% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 26.9% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.