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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.11vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.85+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.79+0.32vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.51-0.29vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.96+0.81vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.54-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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3.19Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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3.32University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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3.71Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.81Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.28Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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4.58University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 43.2% | 25.7% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 15.7% | 21.6% | 23.0% | 18.5% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Austin Hauter | 14.5% | 20.6% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Hope | 12.7% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 11.7% | 4.3% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 20.3% | 49.4% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 26.5% | 28.8% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 22.5% | 24.1% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.