← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.74+1.06vs Predicted
-
2Oregon State University0.51+1.68vs Predicted
-
3Oregon State University0.85+0.23vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-0.96+1.86vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.54+0.28vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.79-2.67vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington-0.16-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.06University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
-
3.68Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
-
3.23Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
-
5.86Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
-
5.28Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
3.33University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
-
4.57University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 44.9% | 25.0% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hope | 11.4% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 18.5% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 15.9% | 20.5% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Carter Dojan | 1.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 21.5% | 49.0% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 26.8% | 28.3% |
| Austin Hauter | 15.4% | 19.7% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 2.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 21.4% | 23.5% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.