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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.09vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.51+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.79+0.29vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.85-0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16-0.24vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.96-0.18vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.54-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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3.69Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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3.2Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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4.76University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.82Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.14Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 43.5% | 25.6% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hope | 11.3% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 11.1% | 5.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 14.2% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 18.3% | 18.8% | 22.2% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 21.8% | 23.2% | 16.2% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 48.9% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 29.1% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.