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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.07vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.79+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.16+1.75vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.85-0.76vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.51-1.25vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.54-0.74vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.96-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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3.24University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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3.24Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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3.75Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.26Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.69Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 44.2% | 25.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Austin Hauter | 15.1% | 23.4% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 22.2% | 22.6% | 16.9% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 17.5% | 18.5% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Hope | 10.6% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 21.2% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 5.2% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 28.1% | 27.3% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.