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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+5.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+8.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.10vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50+3.88vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39+7.48vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.53+1.74vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.35vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-0.54vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.16+0.71vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.74+1.22vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.17-1.23vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-3.00vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.60-5.79vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.48-6.04vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.09-5.23vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-9.03vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.93-11.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.28Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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8.88Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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13.48Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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8.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.71Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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12.22Boston College2.740.0%1st Place
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10.77Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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10.0Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.96Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.9Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Mack Fox | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 27.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Charles Miller | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| Drake Lyon | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 14.7% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.