← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.53+7.29vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.39+10.83vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.93+3.89vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.59vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University3.16+4.84vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.24+3.84vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.87vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.09+2.04vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.60-0.58vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.48-1.48vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston4.09-4.57vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.87vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-4.59vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College3.21-4.05vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-5.90vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University3.50-7.30vs Predicted
-
17Stanford University3.17-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.29Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
12.83Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
6.89Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.84Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
-
9.84Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
-
10.04University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
-
8.42Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
8.52Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.43College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
8.13U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
9.95Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
9.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.7Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
10.14Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 31.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% |
| Mack Fox | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Charles Miller | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.