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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+7.83vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.21+7.73vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+3.28vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.50+4.73vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.53+3.26vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.70vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.17+2.97vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60+0.07vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-1.97vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.48-1.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.72vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.39+0.92vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-4.61vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.24-4.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.11vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.09-5.64vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.16-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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6.28College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.73Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.97Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.03Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.54Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.92Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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10.16Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 31.9% |
| Charles Miller | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Mack Fox | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.