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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+11.65vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.99vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+6.97vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+2.92vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+4.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.73vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.09-0.75vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.50+0.45vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.48-0.10vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.53-1.64vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-2.50vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.89vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.60-4.65vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.21-4.05vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.09-4.71vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.02vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.16-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.65Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.97Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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6.92Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.45Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.25College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.45Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.9Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.95Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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10.16Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 30.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Charles Miller | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Mack Fox | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.