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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.50+7.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.39+10.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.10vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17+6.02vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+4.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.30vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.53+1.51vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48+0.55vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.09+0.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.94vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.09-5.67vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-4.63vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-6.36vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.60-6.79vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.21-6.13vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.16-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.83Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.02Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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9.49Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.55Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.04Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.33College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.15Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 31.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| Mack Fox | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Charles Miller | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% |
| Roberto Stevens | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.