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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+6.91vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+6.43vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+4.77vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93+1.73vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.17+4.17vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.50+1.63vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.16+1.80vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.39+4.11vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-0.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.09-1.75vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-3.04vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-5.55vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.60-6.79vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston4.09-9.71vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.77Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.73Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.17Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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8.63Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.8Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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13.11Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.56Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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9.96Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.29College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 32.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% |
| Charles Miller | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.