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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.98vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+5.61vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+5.79vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.17+4.80vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+2.45vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.09-0.76vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.21+1.56vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-0.26vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.16-0.10vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-2.54vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-2.14vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.39+0.08vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.93-6.99vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-5.94vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.48-7.26vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.09-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.61Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.8Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.24College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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13.08Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.74Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
| Charles Miller | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Mack Fox | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 31.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.