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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+7.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+6.17vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+3.26vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17+6.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.85vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.90vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-1.20vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.50-0.18vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-0.44vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-1.02vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-3.30vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.83vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.16-3.82vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.39-2.12vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-7.73vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.09-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.26College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.09Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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6.8Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.82Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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9.56Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.98Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.7Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.18Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.88Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Mack Fox | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 31.3% |
| Charles Miller | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.