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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.62+7.84vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.52+3.90vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+2.13vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+1.77vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.92+2.09vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.63+2.09vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.87+3.37vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.89-4.15vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.66-1.02vs Predicted
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11Brown University4.49-4.89vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.89-0.61vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.19-5.98vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.70-5.39vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.84-3.20vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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5.9Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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5.13Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.09Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.09Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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4.85Boston College4.890.2%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.39Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.02Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.8Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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14.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Bowen | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 11.2% |
| Tyler Sinks | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Marshall | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Fred Strammer | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 13.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Conor Lodge | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 13.7% |
| Graham Philpot | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.