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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.39+10.78vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+7.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.18vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+3.47vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50+2.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.12vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-1.82vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09+1.55vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-0.47vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-3.95vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.21-2.22vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.60-4.64vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.17-3.86vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.53-6.54vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-7.72vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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12.78Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.47Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.77Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.18College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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9.53Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.05Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.78Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.14Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 29.6% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Charles Miller | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Mack Fox | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.