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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+6.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.08vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09+2.32vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.21+4.55vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.53+2.73vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.16+3.04vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.39+4.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.72vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.60-1.94vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-3.92vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.50-3.39vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-2.97vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-5.57vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.09-4.70vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.17-5.88vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.24-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.62Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.32College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.55Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.04Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.62Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.08Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.61Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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8.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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10.12Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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9.76Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 29.9% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Mack Fox | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Charles Miller | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.