← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.24+7.76vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.97+7.97vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.59+4.25vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.20+4.62vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.40+7.05vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.20+2.72vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.05+2.36vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+4.05vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.15-0.14vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.19-0.93vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+0.41vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College2.81-1.22vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston3.75-6.67vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University2.89-4.27vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-4.20vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.76-5.26vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-8.92vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy3.22-9.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.76Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
9.97Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
-
7.25Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
8.62Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
12.05Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
-
8.72Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.36Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
12.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
-
8.86Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
9.07Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
11.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
-
10.78Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
6.33College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
9.73Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
10.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
-
10.74University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.4U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Tucker Hersam | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 17.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% |
| Augie Dale | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Shane Riera | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Brendan Read | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Trevor Long | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.