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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.81+8.61vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+7.45vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+4.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+5.54vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20+2.46vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19+1.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+2.03vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+2.72vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-1.28vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.59-4.11vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.75-5.86vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.22-4.78vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.24-5.77vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.76-4.93vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.40-4.44vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.97-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.45Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.34Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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11.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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8.72Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.89Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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6.14College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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11.56Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.24Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Pemberton | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Trevor Long | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Shane Riera | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 16.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Augie Dale | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Read | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Tucker Hersam | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 16.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.