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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+7.03vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+7.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.80vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24+4.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.22+2.91vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.75+0.31vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+4.45vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+2.48vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.59-2.15vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.19-1.86vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.25vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.20-3.71vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.81-2.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-3.54vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.89-5.51vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.76-5.85vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.40-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.11Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.8Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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11.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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6.85Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.03Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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9.49Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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11.58Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Augie Dale | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Trevor Long | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% |
| Shane Riera | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Brendan Read | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% |
| Tucker Hersam | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.