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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+7.92vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.75+3.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.82vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.59+2.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24+2.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.22+2.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+3.76vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76+1.86vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-0.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+0.17vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.81-0.98vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.40-0.57vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.19-4.58vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.89-4.31vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-3.55vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.20-7.69vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.98College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.82Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.75Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.43Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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11.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Augie Dale | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% |
| Brendan Read | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Shane Riera | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Tucker Hersam | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 17.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 17.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Trevor Long | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.