Race 6B

sherman-hoyt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Lindsey Baab 7.6% 6.8% 7.5% 6.3% 6.8% 5.8% 6.6% 5.4% 7.4% 6.8% 5.7% 6.6% 4.8% 5.3% 5.3% 3.6% 1.7%
Jack Parkin 9.6% 10.6% 8.3% 8.6% 7.3% 8.7% 7.8% 7.0% 6.9% 6.1% 4.8% 3.5% 4.6% 1.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.7%
Trevor Long 7.9% 6.7% 9.3% 8.1% 7.0% 6.4% 5.9% 7.3% 6.7% 6.2% 5.9% 4.9% 6.1% 4.4% 3.8% 1.7% 1.7%
Nicholas Karnovsky 6.7% 7.2% 6.6% 5.1% 6.5% 6.7% 5.8% 6.6% 7.0% 5.7% 8.0% 5.9% 6.0% 5.1% 4.4% 3.5% 3.2%
Augie Dale 12.1% 11.7% 11.2% 8.6% 10.4% 6.2% 7.8% 6.6% 5.7% 4.0% 3.6% 3.6% 3.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Casey Klingler 5.6% 5.4% 4.2% 5.8% 6.6% 6.5% 5.3% 6.1% 6.8% 6.6% 7.9% 6.2% 5.2% 6.2% 5.1% 6.8% 3.7%
Peter Hogan 6.3% 7.2% 5.3% 7.1% 6.2% 6.9% 7.5% 7.1% 6.9% 7.3% 6.8% 6.0% 5.1% 4.4% 4.2% 4.0% 1.7%
Jack Elkin 5.8% 3.8% 7.0% 6.1% 5.9% 5.4% 4.9% 4.6% 5.6% 7.3% 5.7% 5.5% 7.4% 6.0% 7.1% 6.0% 5.9%
Pierre Thibodeau 2.2% 2.8% 3.1% 3.0% 2.7% 4.4% 4.4% 4.0% 5.3% 3.3% 5.4% 6.2% 6.6% 9.0% 8.3% 12.4% 16.9%
Duncan Williford 6.4% 7.3% 5.6% 7.1% 5.5% 8.6% 7.5% 6.4% 5.7% 6.0% 5.7% 6.8% 5.7% 4.7% 4.4% 3.7% 2.9%
Cameron Holley 7.8% 6.2% 6.1% 6.6% 6.2% 6.7% 6.7% 6.0% 6.1% 7.4% 5.1% 5.9% 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 3.3% 2.6%
Shane Riera 4.0% 3.9% 5.0% 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 4.6% 5.1% 4.3% 6.5% 5.0% 7.9% 6.5% 6.7% 7.7% 9.9% 9.1%
Tucker Hersam 3.4% 2.9% 2.2% 3.6% 2.5% 3.1% 3.3% 4.6% 4.9% 5.1% 5.5% 6.3% 6.7% 8.4% 9.2% 11.3% 17.0%
Carter Pemberton 3.4% 5.2% 4.5% 3.4% 6.5% 5.7% 4.9% 4.0% 5.7% 6.3% 6.4% 6.4% 5.8% 7.8% 8.6% 8.5% 6.9%
Ryan Hunter 3.5% 4.4% 3.6% 4.7% 4.0% 3.9% 5.0% 5.9% 4.3% 4.3% 5.9% 6.3% 7.7% 7.1% 8.0% 8.4% 13.0%
Robby Gearon 4.3% 4.3% 4.4% 6.9% 5.8% 6.5% 6.6% 6.4% 6.1% 5.9% 7.5% 5.7% 6.8% 5.3% 6.3% 7.5% 3.7%
Brendan Read 3.4% 3.6% 6.1% 5.0% 5.1% 3.7% 5.4% 6.9% 4.6% 5.2% 5.1% 6.3% 6.5% 9.0% 7.7% 7.5% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.