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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+7.18vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+7.53vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.68vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+6.48vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.59+1.69vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+3.12vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19+1.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.22+0.10vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.20-0.42vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-1.89vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+0.72vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.75-5.72vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.40-1.22vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-3.60vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.81-5.05vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.97-6.62vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.53Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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6.69Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.12Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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6.28College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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11.78Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.95Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.38Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Trevor Long | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Shane Riera | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Peter Hogan | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 20.2% |
| Augie Dale | 9.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 18.7% |
| Brendan Read | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.