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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+7.20vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+7.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+5.52vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.59+2.89vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97+4.11vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+4.40vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+2.00vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+3.31vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.19-0.36vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81-0.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-0.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.22-3.70vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.75-6.67vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.40-2.23vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.24-6.77vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.20-7.50vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-9.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.54Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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6.89Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.11Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.0Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.88Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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6.33College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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11.77Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| Brendan Read | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 17.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| Shane Riera | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Augie Dale | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Tucker Hersam | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 18.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Trevor Long | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.