← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.89+8.39vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.76+8.14vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.71vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.97+5.43vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.05+3.77vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.22+2.45vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.20+1.36vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+3.33vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+1.67vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston3.75-3.87vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.40+0.72vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-3.46vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University3.59-6.06vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.81-3.83vs Predicted
-
15Brown University3.20-6.61vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University3.24-7.69vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College3.19-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.39Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
10.14University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.43Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.77Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.45U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
-
8.36Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
11.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
-
10.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
-
6.13College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
11.72Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
-
8.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
-
6.94Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
10.17Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
8.39Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.31Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
8.55Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Brendan Read | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Trevor Long | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 17.2% |
| Shane Riera | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| Augie Dale | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tucker Hersam | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 19.8% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.