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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+5.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+8.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.75+2.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+4.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76+4.52vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.91+3.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+2.93vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.19-0.17vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.25vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.22-2.35vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.40+0.25vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.20-4.05vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.24-5.07vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-2.71vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.81-5.49vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.89-6.77vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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5.82College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.02Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.27Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.75Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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11.25Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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9.51Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.23Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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12.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| Augie Dale | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Brendan Read | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Shane Riera | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Tucker Hersam | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.