← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.20+6.73vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.05+6.42vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.82vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.24+3.88vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.75+0.70vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.59+0.56vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+4.15vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.81+1.29vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.91+0.35vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.89-0.97vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.20-2.85vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06+0.38vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-2.49vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College3.19-5.88vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-5.09vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.76-6.24vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University2.40-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.73Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.42Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.82U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
-
7.88Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
5.7College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
6.56Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
11.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
-
9.29Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.35Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
-
9.03Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
8.15Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
12.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
-
10.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
-
8.12Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
-
9.76University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
11.23Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Augie Dale | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 25.5% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Shane Riera | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% |
| Brendan Read | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Tucker Hersam | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.