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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+6.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+6.34vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.76+6.65vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+5.57vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.59+1.27vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.89+3.34vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19+1.03vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.75-2.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.22-1.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-0.20vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.91-1.73vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.20-4.04vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06-0.49vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-2.68vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.40-3.88vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-5.55vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.20-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.34Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.57Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.27Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.75College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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9.27Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
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11.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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11.12Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Brendan Read | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Augie Dale | 14.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Shane Riera | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| Josh Dochoda | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 24.1% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.9% |
| Tucker Hersam | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.