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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.18+3.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.66+1.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.37+4.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+5.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+1.96vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.09+3.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.10vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10+5.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.80-2.91vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.13-1.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara0.72-4.47vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.63-1.43vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-5.49vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-2.24vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.92-3.41vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-1.43-2.32vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.66-2.82vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.65-3.89vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.53-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16University of Southern California2.180.2%1st Place
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3.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.3%1st Place
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3.75University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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11.84University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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11.3University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.1University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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15.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.09University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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10.75University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.0%1st Place
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13.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.630.0%1st Place
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10.51University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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14.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.0%1st Place
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14.59University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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16.68University of California at Berkeley-1.430.0%1st Place
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17.18University of California at San Diego-1.660.0%1st Place
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17.11University of California at Irvine-1.650.0%1st Place
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16.6University of California at San Diego-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 16.1% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 27.4% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Wagner | 18.4% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Jack Holbrook | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| Erika Barth | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sean Jawetz | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Leddy | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nick Bonafede | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Christian Parizea | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Preston Weber | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 16.9% |
| Stephen O'Loughlin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 22.9% |
| Brian Newcomer | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 21.6% |
| Robert Ketchum | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.