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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+5.61vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+5.82vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.86+5.38vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.39+4.08vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.94+2.90vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.15-2.12vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.95+0.59vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.20+1.68vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-2.74vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.87-0.01vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59-0.83vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.57-3.67vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.38-7.25vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.49-4.56vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61University of Rhode Island2.789.0%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.6%1st Place
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8.38Brown University1.864.5%1st Place
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8.08Boston University1.395.5%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University1.945.9%1st Place
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3.88Stanford University3.1521.6%1st Place
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7.59Boston College1.956.5%1st Place
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9.68Connecticut College1.203.6%1st Place
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6.26Bowdoin College2.069.5%1st Place
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9.99University of Vermont0.873.0%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University1.593.1%1st Place
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8.33Yale University1.575.2%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College2.3810.2%1st Place
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9.44Northwestern University1.493.3%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 21.6% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 15.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 15.6% |
| Audrey Foley | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| William Michels | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Shea Smith | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.