← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.33+2.81vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.18+2.11vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-0.06vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+5.01vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.52vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego0.80+2.37vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.08vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+2.49vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara0.72-0.61vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-1.53+6.66vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.37-1.33vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-0.36vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis0.13-2.23vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.63-0.41vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley-1.43+1.30vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-0.92-1.33vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-5.53vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-2.94vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-1.66-1.83vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10-4.69vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Irvine-1.65-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.81University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
-
4.11University of Southern California2.180.2%1st Place
-
2.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.3%1st Place
-
9.01University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
-
5.52University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
-
8.37University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
-
9.08University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
10.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
-
8.39University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.0%1st Place
-
16.66University of California at San Diego-1.530.0%1st Place
-
9.67University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
-
11.64University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
-
10.77University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
-
13.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.630.0%1st Place
-
16.3University of California at Berkeley-1.430.0%1st Place
-
14.67University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
-
11.47University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
-
15.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.0%1st Place
-
17.17University of California at San Diego-1.660.0%1st Place
-
15.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
-
16.95University of California at Irvine-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wagner | 18.3% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 16.0% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 25.7% | 23.8% | 18.7% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ketchum | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 19.6% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sean Leddy | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Preston Weber | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% |
| Christian Parizea | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nick Bonafede | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Stephen O'Loughlin | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 21.8% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% |
| Brian Newcomer | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.